The second phase of the fall double is under the spotlight and our guy has some pretty pricey recommendations for Cesarewitch.
Antepost valuable betting tips: fixed season 2022
1pt Frankenstella win at Cesarewitch Handicap at 25/1 (year)
1pt Inchicore win in Cesarewitch Handicap at 25/1 (year)
Willie Mullins has a lot of juggling when it comes to it Cesarewich handicap Team, next Sunday’s Irish release is a major stumbling block when it comes to a pre-war counter bet on anything from Closutton to Newmarket.
Mullins still have a dozen participants but most also have the option of a pre-curragh, including Galway festival winner Echoes In Rain, which is among the market leaders at both events.
She would be a great player if she came to the UK, where Mullins trained three of the previous four winners, but there are other serious Irish horses to consider as well, not least the Emmet Mullins (14/1) trained Cape Gentleman, who one might assume would be targeting this race. Given his only other participation at the time of writing, Kerry National Handicap Chase is on Wednesday in Listowel.
It’s a waiting game with him, too, but the bottom line is that Cesarewitch could cut significantly over the coming days, and as a result, two locally trained racers deserve to join in early before Monday—and a quarter mile on October 8.
The first is Alan King’s mare INCHICOREwhich was pushed to 25/1 from the twenties by Paddy Power and Betfair after her comeback at Doncaster’s St Leger Festival, which sounds gracious.
granted, in Ranked 3rd in Going Gone in the Mallard (Replay below) She wasn’t quite on the same level as she was when she won at Goodwood in May or when she was beaten twice in 4th for an insufficient ride (1m4) at Haydock in July, but presumably the race was required after 71 A day of rest.
Summer vacation was almost inevitable given this horse’s preference for cutting into the ground, and King went on record that “there could be a really big handicap in her land.”
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Conditions haven’t been ideal for a while, but Enshikor still got kicked out of the favourite on 11/4 when it looked like land was in their favor at Town Moor, strongly suggesting they think she’s still on the viable mark (left alone) on 97. . She stayed well to be third, did her best out of those put off, and eventually had to take on the challenge more towards the middle of the track and away from the front lead that was on the far rail.
It was a credible show and its form with subsequent York winner Ahorsewithnoname of Newbury back in the spring reads particularly well with this race in mind as Nicky Henderson’s horse – which Inchicore was trying to give his 12-pound weight – is no bigger than an 8/number 1 for Cesarewitch, while Inchicore’s stamina seems more assured anyway, especially if the test takes place.
The other person who should be by his side at this point is Frankenstein For coach John Quinn, who is having a great season thanks to Princess Highfield’s sprint exploits.
Obviously, these mare are at the other end of the spectrum in terms of distance, but Frankel’s five-year-old daughter still had quite a few miles on the clock, and like Enchikor, she was definitely refreshed for the fall campaign.
She peaked when she was three years old with York’s win in September 2020 and there was plenty to admire her long defeat to Saturday’s Cesarewitch Trial winner and Racineski’s all-around steel standard on bad ground at Haydock last May.
She’s limited to outings only twice so far this year, but built on her third in York (behind Ahorsewithnoname) to spread her career best effort second only to Alfred Boucher over a two-mile stretch at York’s Ebor Festival.
The winner lost the big bout on Saturday, so the look is neat and Frankenstella’s weight has only gone up 2lbs. This seems like a crucial hike because he could see her creep down Cesarewitch and if that’s the case – and some heavy rain comes at the right time – her current odds (also 25 seconds) will look like stellar work.
Posted at 1500 GMT on 09/18/22
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