Our guy highlights the selection of value displayed via cards at Doncaster and Curragh on Sundays.
Betting Tips: Sunday 11th September
0.5 point ew Motagally at 2.10 Doncaster at 66/1 (Coral 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,)
1pt Hamish win at 4.10 Curragh at 7/1 (bet365)
1pt Ataser win at 4.30 Doncaster at 1/1 (year)
Sunday’s rescheduled Cazoo St Leger Stakes doesn’t rank among the hottest releases of the oldest classic, and I’m obviously hoping to see New London live up to market expectations after placing it as a good bet for Arc last weekend.
If Charlie Appleby’s quick improvement in Doncaster works out, he’ll surely be looking to follow the hooves of fellow stablemate Hurricane Lane to Paris, and there’s a good chance his clear class will get him through this weekend’s assignment without stamina becoming as much of an issue as he surely is. It still seems unfamiliar from what we saw in Gordon Stakes.
Goodwood’s model reads exceptionally well in the grand scheme of this year’s classic middle-distance crop and New London is just heaps of colt just starting to lump it together in the fall.
Those keen to look for some value could do worse than the French claim around the 12/1 mark as his form like stamina would be his forte when he was third after trying to make it all in the Irish derby on his last start.
Coach Paddy Tommy has deliberately kept him behind for the latter stages of the year and circumstances seem to have worked in his favour, but just playing places behind a horse could be very exciting.
By contrast, the Coral Portland Handicap – which also turned from Saturday – is a hugely competitive affair and a little interest in each direction might pay off. Tagaliwhich appears to have been drawn (booth 12) in the mysterious right spot down the middle with plenty of speed horses pinned between the center figures.
He doesn’t want bad ground but few tracks dry out as quickly as Doncaster and this horse simply looks a bit pricey based on a number of factors.
First, it has become very well treated. After winning five times with Charlie Hills (in Shadwell’s Silk) including handicaps of marks 75, 82, 89 and 96, he is back at 92 after starting last season with a good enough rating of 102.
He was still ranked 101 when he narrowly defeated Danzino (102), Dubai Station (100) and Tarbush (100) in a terms race in Nottingham last August, after which he was fourth at Goodwood and fourth again in the Air Gold Cup. from perch 98.
He has since changed hands for 58,000 pounds at a HIT sale last fall and has only made his Dixon debut recently, running down the field as a pretty much a 1/40 chance at the Beverley Bullet.
It’s right to break the cobwebs away, and a slightly more rigorous test here will play a bigger role in his strengths.
The In-form Dixon is a smart factor when it comes to runners he picks up from other arenas (Thursday’s Doncaster winner Terentum Star is the latest example) and although that may not be a good Motagally day, especially if there’s a lot of rain There is definitely enough to tempt me to use flashes as well again for the first time since Ayr 12 months ago.
Cazoo Handicap’s six-and-a-half furlong bet and Coral Mallard Handicap during St Leger’s bumper-card closing ride from Friday were saved, and the original bets (including the double each way) still stand – it’s worth a double review with your bookmaker, But technically it shouldn’t have been voided because the races haven’t reopened.
If you’re coming into either race recently, Maharajan is later taken out by Mallard and Shine So Bright The Cazoo Handicap (both due to the go) changes the complexion a bit but the Mums Tipple is still understated on easier ground and is still a perfect back-up around the 13/2 mark .
Without wanting to repeat all the copies as of Thursday, Ryan Moore is handling well with the Mums Tipple, who is clearly back in the groove for now, and he’s a good 2lb after his last Ascot run.
One new bet I’m eager to get in Doncaster is ATASEER In PJ Towey Construction Handicap.
It was originally announced he’d be taking on Sandown on Friday but he’s also been left here and we know Doncaster fits him well as he won custody at that meeting two years ago.
It’s another guy who got a little lost in the third but rejuvenated this time, after a castration at the end of last year, and I’m willing to forgive the last round because he was given very little to do on fast ground in the July session.
Winner Nizaka has been a standout from the start, so Ataseer staying the same to defeat four lengths left the impression that he is still in great shape – having won at the same spot in June – and the very strong pace expected in this event will really play into his strengths.
He’s never won that far, but they should come back to him at the end which seems crucial and he certainly still has a really competitive mark, only 4lbs higher than the win on his penultimate start.
Day two of Irish Champions Weekend completes the event presented by Doncaster on ITV4 and another chance to see the gorgeous mare Highfield Princess at Al Basti Equiworld, Dubai Flying Five Stakes.
Unless a long season starts to catch up with her, there is very little to suggest she won’t win again here because the track, the ride and the ground all fit her so perfectly.
Easy conditions may not be quite ideal for Comer Group International Irish St. Leger favorite Kyprios, however, and on the odds that I want Hamish on the side.
He didn’t quite seem to see it when he was nominated for the Long Distance Champions Cup at Ascot last October, but that mile and three quarters was a buzz in his cockpit.
William Haggas’ horse loves to step on his toe, and if he’s ever going to land in the first set, that looks like the perfect target.
He was last seen winning the Ormonde Stakes over a mile extended and five furlongs in Chester and the angle of freshness – after another 129 days – is clearly not a bad thing.
Published at 1600 GMT on 09/22/10
We are committed to our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are recommended for those over 18 and readers are strongly encouraged to only bet what they can afford to lose.
If you are concerned about gambling, please contact the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on me 0808 8020133.