Nations League Tips: Best Bets & Previews

The Nations League returns for the final round of group matches and our guides pick their best bets for the three matches that will take place on Thursday.


Football Betting Tips: Nations League

1pt Axel Witsel 1+ of total shots on goal in Belgium vs Wales at 2/1 (Sky Bet)

1 Denzel Dumfries point to score at any time in Poland against the Netherlands at 8/1 (Skybet)

0.5 point Joachim Mahle +2 shots in Croatia against Denmark at 11/10 (Skybet)

Sky Bet . odds | Buddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

Belgium vs Wales

Written by James Cantrell (Tweet embed)

Axel Witsel’s offensive exploits for club and country differ greatly.

In this campaign with Atlético Madrid, he played every minute in La Liga, yet he only mustered one effort, resulting in modest shots per 90 at a rate of 0.17.

For his country, he has had 12 shots in 16 matches in the European Championship, Euro, World Cup and Nations League qualifiers since the start of 2021.

There are several reasons for such an offensive difference. For Belgium, Roberto Martinez plays a role with more offensive freedom.

It should also be noted that the dynamic of international games is different from that of domestic ones.

According to FIFA, the Red Devils are the second best team in the world, which means that Witsel will often find his team dominating actions in terms of possession, trying to break down low block – conditions that yield a high number of shots.

Since the beginning of 2021, Axl Weasel was recorded 1+ total shots on target In 43% of his 14 appearances. If you look at the games where these efforts have taken place, a very clear pattern emerges.

He scored the goal in six of his nine matches against teams ranked 19 or lower – against teams such as Kazakhstan, Scotland, Russia, Finland, Estonia and Wales.

In his five matches against teams ranked in the top ten, Witsel failed to score a single shot, having faced Denmark, France, Portugal and Italy twice in that period.

Expect result: Belgium 2-0 Wales (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)

Odds are correct 1430 GMT (20/09/22)

Poland vs the Netherlands

Written by James Cantrell (Tweet embed)

The Netherlands are looking to extend their unbeaten run of six months and 15 games over their trip to Warsaw, as they face Poland in their penultimate match in Group D of the Premier League on Thursday.

Orange won 11 of those matches. Another victory would take them one step closer to securing their place in the UEFA Nations League semi-finals.

Louis van Gaal’s side have been in a frightening state of scoring, scoring 49 goals since the start of 2021, and scoring two or more goals in 81% of those matches, which is why I think the scorers market is worth going into.

Since the beginning of 2021, Dumfries Denzel It was in the rich context of his nation’s scoring.

During that period, he netted five times in 17 matches, giving him a goal-per-90 average of 0.37. Average makes any price over 5/2 for him to score in Poland retractable, so at 8/1 available with Sky Bet, kick it To register at any time Certainly justified.

The full-back has netted twice for both club and country so far this season, including his shot in the reverse game, with 2.31 shots per 90 and more shots on target per game.

It also doesn’t hurt that Poland have kept just 28% of their matches so far this calendar year. Two of those four came in home games against Minos Andorra and San Marino.

During those 14 matches, Poland conceded 22 times, including during their trip to Andorra and San Marino.

Expect result: Poland 1-3 Holland (Skybet odds: 14/1)

Correct Odds 1630 BST (20/09/22)

Croatia vs Denmark

Written by James Cantrell (Tweet embed)

Joachim Mahle’s forays to the left side became a regular sight during Denmark’s European campaign that saw them knock out in the semi-finals.

Currently playing in Serie A for Atalanta, the right-footed left-back was often found high and wide for the ball-winning Danes, scoring two goals and assisting once on their way to Wembley, posing a threat on goal as he cut The ball is in his favourite. Introduce or make the extra man in the far post.

to support JOAKIM MAEHLE In the shadows more than to be 2+ total shots The appeal is here. Maehle had 10 shots in the competition over the summer, meeting that streak four times, only failing to get a shot against England.

The match was only one of two occasions since the start of 2021 that Mahley started for his nation and failed to score at least one attempt. The only other time was his last appearance against Austria, where he played only 48 minutes, although he scored an assist.

The fact that Kasper Hjolmand’s side win to secure their Nations League finals play also provides an extra dimension to this angle, and you should see Denmark attack with more enthusiasm than usual.

Expect result: Croatia 1-1 Denmark (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)

The odds are correct 0930 BST (09/21/22)

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We are committed to our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are recommended for those over 18 and readers are strongly encouraged to only bet what they can afford to lose.

If you are concerned about gambling, please contact the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020133.

More support and information can be found at begambleaware.org And the gamingtherapy.org.


Friday’s best bets


1pt Dominik Szoboszlai in 1.5 shots in Germany against Hungary at 6/4 (bet365)

1pt Edin Dzeko ever top scorer in Bosnia and Herzegovina against Montenegro at 7/5 (Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power)

Harry Maguire 1 point card in 23/10 (Betfair Sportsbook, Paddy Power)

Germany vs Hungary

Written by Liam Kelly (Tweet embed)

Surprise package Hungary travels to Germany in hopes of retaining the top spot in Nations League Group C.

However, one player who might feel at home for Hungary is Dominic ZuboslayHis football club currently plays at the same stadium as RB Leipzig where this game is being played.

The relaxed Szoboszlai is a serious threat to the host, too, believed to be the present and future of Hungarian football and known for his volley.

6/4 when betting 365 on the penalty kick and the free kick taker to score More than 1.5 shots Makes an appeal under the circumstances.

Hungary was far from fearful of attacking strong nations like Germany, Italy and England in this group, scoring seven times in four matches.

When they have the opportunity to move forward, expect Szoboszlai to have a pop in the net – the norm at club level.

He has scored 11 shots in just seven matches in the Bundesliga and Champions League with RB Leipzig this season, only four of which have been more than 45 minutes long.

Expect result: Germany 3-1 Hungary (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)

Correct Odds 1530 BST (21/09/22)


Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Montenegro

Written by James Cantrell (Tweet embed)

It’s not rocket science to support Bosnia and Herzegovina’s best player of all time and top scorer in the net on Friday night, but the prices available are not to be taken lightly.

can be done He made 124 appearances for his country, scoring a record 63 netting times, ranking him 26th in the list of all-time international top scorers.

With a goal average in every other match for Ivailo Petev, he has 7/5 available To register at any time Definitely worth betting.

His team collides with the candidates when they welcome Montenegro, as tall as 7/10 in some places.

The hosts are also under the shadow of money with William Hill finding the net more than once, so you might imagine their talisman, which has scored just under a quarter of its goals since the start of 2021, to be among the targets in some capacity if the Dragon finds the net as bookies expect.

The Inter striker scored twice in his last five matches for the club, and it should also be noted that he scored two goals in Bosnia’s last match against Finland.

Expect result: Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 Montenegro (Sky Bet odds: 13/2)

Correct Odds 1425 BST (22/09/22)


Italy vs England

Written by James Cantrell (Tweet embed)

Given who’s responsible for this clash, I also think the cards are worth exploring.

Jesus Gil Manzano whistle – The Spaniard has given 24 yellows in three matches in the domestic league this season.

In his only match so far in the Nations League – he oversaw England’s defeat by Denmark – he waved five whistles before James and Harry Maguire gave their orders to march at Wembley.

Half of the six World Cup qualifiers he coached saw five or more cards and a third saw a red card flashed.

His performance for Manchester United has been criticized, but it is undeniable that at the international level, Harry Maguire has been a staunch champion.

There was a lot of speculation about what Gareth Southgate would do with Maguire as the defender lost his luck at Old Trafford.

The England boss has been so loyal in the past, almost to a mistake, and based so thoroughly on his performances with the Three Lions, that he would be hard to dismiss.

With the World Cup looming, and his limited playing time domestically, Maguire will be understandably eager to impress, and I think this crowning of circumstances bodes well for him to show the card.

The former Leicester man doesn’t have the cleanest disciplinary record. Since the start of the 2020/21 season, no player in the Premier League has accumulated more cards than his tally of 24.

In his last nine matches for club and national team, he has picked up papers four times.

Expect result: Italy 1-0 England (Sky Bet odds: 13/2)

Odds are correct at 1430 GMT (22/09/22)


More from Sporting Live

Safer gambling

We are committed to our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are recommended for those over 18 and readers are strongly encouraged to only bet what they can afford to lose.

If you are concerned about gambling, please contact the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020133.

More support and information can be found at begambleaware.org And the gamingtherapy.org.